| WEALTH: To take no action is very clearly an action |
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| Written by Ric Conzet | |||||||
| Friday, 05 September 2008 07:41 | |||||||
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If the Pros are getting crushed, this is an important lesson for those of you that trade. Today's title is an old proverb from western culture. It is also an important realization for many developing traders as they develop. There are two common problems for developing traders. First, is a lack of patience and discipline. Second, is not having the ability to know when doing 'nothing' is the correct, best, and most profitable option. These problems can show up in two very major ways. Both of these are common to new and even to seasoned traders. First, traders with the above problems will overtrade. The lack of patience and discipline causes them to take a trade before it has developed properly, or to take one that was not even in the plan at all. Many traders feel the need to be doing 'something' to put their skills to use. Many fail to understand that sometimes, 'that something,' should be waiting for the next real opportunity. Second, traders in low odds market environments with the above problems will have a tendency to enter and exit trades early without a good technical reason. How many times have you entered and exited a good trade for partial profits, and watched from the sidelines as the trade went on to its original target? Or worse yet, re-entered at a poorly planned entry and stopped out? Traders who have the need to do 'something' all the time often over manage trades. When they look back, they often had no reason to exit or no reason to enter but may not see this as a problem because they were 'managing' the trade. Part of your decision making process will come from your planning and the simple understanding of what time frame you are trading. Traders who are open to multiple time frames (i.e., day, swing, and position) will have the flexibility to find more plays. If you are swing trading only, for example, you need to accept that it is more likely that there may be periods of time when you should not be trading. There are three things that will help. First, just accept the title of this memo. The decision to stand aside IS a pro-active decision. Second, a well-laid out trading plan will give the foundation to your trading to stop making decisions from 'boredom'. Third, just ask yourself this question. Am I buying or selling here because this is the proper action based on my plan, or am I just looking for something to do?
3.25 Copyright (C) 2007 Alain Georgette / Copyright (C) 2006 Frantisek Hliva. All rights reserved." |
November 22, 2008 It was options expiration day for the US markets yesterday (which causes market makers to raise the price of stocks to hurt shorts and puts). That fact combined with a piece of news from Obama about his choice for Treasury Secretary, Tim Geithner, helped assist an overdue technical rally. The markets for US equities trimmed their yearly loss to 46%....still the worst year since 1931. Citigroup lost 60% of its stock value this week and we are now facing saving more banks. But the S&P shot up 47.57 points to 800.01, the Dow Jones jumped 494.37 closing at 8,046.66 and the NASDAQ gained 68.23 points finishing with 1384.35. Volatility folks. Not time to buy anything but diner.......or Check out tomorrow what we have to say about Master Limited Partnerships. Be careful. |