Trading Blog Trading Blog: The Energy Washout
| Trading Blog: The Energy Washout |
 |
 |
 |
| Written by Ric Conzet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Friday, 12 September 2008 09:21 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Oil Platforms under attack by Hurrican "IKE" - 9/12/08
I have been quit perplexed over the steep and violent EnergySector correction and wondering what the real insiders are thinking and doing with it. I found this editorial by Brian Heyliger of the Inside Strategist. It’s worth your time to look into this excellent analysis and make your own decisions. “Coal... crude oil... natural gas... pipelines... The list of insiders buying energy shares in August is as long as my arm. In July, oil peaked at $147 a barrel. Today, oil's at $102 and still sinking (except for Hurricane Ike's impact, which will put it on the rise again). Even before oil fell down the stairs, oil stocks were selling off... Now, things have gotten even bloodier. The Oil Service Trust (OIH) is down 27% in about two months. ExxonMobil (XOM), the world's largest public company, is down 14% since July 3. And the Alerian MLP index, which tracks pipeline companies, bounced in August... then came crashing back down last week. But while everyone's stampeding for the exits, insiders are gobbling up shares in energy companies. Here are just a few examples of what I've seen recently... • Natural gas producer and driller SandRidge Energy (SD) insiders have bought $4.5 million... • Four Contango Oil & Gas (MCF) executives dropped almost $3 million into the company in the past few weeks... • Pipeline operator Duncan Energy Partners (DEP) got a $2.5 million lift from its chairman... • And Patriot Coal (PCX) insiders have bought $1.8 million. Insiders are the best-informed group of investors in the market. They know more about what their companies are worth than any other investor out there. So when you see insiders across a sector betting big with their own cash, pay attention. It's likely the investing herd has headed over a cliff, dumping good stocks along with bad in a sectorwide panic. And traders who know better can scoop up quality stocks at firesale prices. That's exactly what we're seeing in energy stocks right now. So I put together a list of insiders' favorites over the last month...
One company I like is Duncan Energy Partners (DEP), a natural gas pipeline and storage business. In other words, it's a toll road for energy. Duncan, which pays a hefty 9% dividend, is a lot like Enterprise Products (EPD). EPD has handed Inside Strategist readers a 75% gain. Then there's Atlas America (ATLS), which has seen massive insider buying since August. After its 2004 spinoff, this independent natural gas producer and transporter soared from $5 to $50 – a ten-bagger. These are both quality companies... and they're certainly on sale: DEP is down 40% from its all-time high, ATLS is down 35%. But I don't think now's the time to buy... Insiders generally have a long-term approach to investing. In most cases, they're not allowed to sell their shares for at least six months. So they're not always concerned with calling the bottom. Energy prices are still falling. That's going to take most of these insider-approved stocks farther down. But when insiders buy like they're buying energy today, you know there's money to be made. I suggest you watch this sector closely. Soon, we should have a good chance to place our bets with the market's most knowledgeable investors.” |
Life Style
Become a Member
Tell a Friend
Like it? Share it!
